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		<title>Should I Pay Off the Mortgage or Invest?</title>
		<link>https://davidkelsey.net/pay-down-the-mortgage-or-invest/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[David Kelsey]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 25 Nov 2025 15:23:49 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Questions answered]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.affordablemoneymanagement.com/?p=429</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>This question has been much debated in the financial world. Assume you have money set aside to cover emergencies, and you have money in a savings account as well. Or perhaps you just received some money through an inheritance. Should [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://davidkelsey.net/pay-down-the-mortgage-or-invest/">Should I Pay Off the Mortgage or Invest?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://davidkelsey.net">Thoughts On Mastering The Three Phases of Life</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">This question has been much debated in the financial world. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Assume you have money set aside to cover emergencies, and you have money in a savings account as well. Or perhaps you just received some money through an inheritance. <em>Should you use any of these sources to</em></span><em><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> pay off your mortgage or take that money and invest it?</span></em></p>
<h3><strong><span style="font-size: 12pt;">The simple answer</span></strong></h3>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">If, in the past, you have had trouble managing your finances, particularly managing debt, then you are probably better off continuing to make mortgage payments. You can see the progress you&#8217;re making with these payments by simply looking at your bank statements.<br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">On the other hand, if you have demonstrated in the past that you can successfully manage your finances and you are willing to spend time in the future managing them, then you should consider using the money for investing. While investing can do a better job of building wealth than paying off debt, this is by no means a certainty.</span></p>
<h3><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><strong>Relevant factors in your decision</strong></span></h3>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">General factors to consider are your age, your home’s current market value and anticipated future appreciation, your marginal income tax rate now and your estimated marginal tax rate in retirement, your current mortgage interest rate and terms, and your estimate and confidence of future returns in alternative investments such as stocks and bonds.</span></p>
<h3><strong><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Paying down, or paying off, a mortgage, pros and cons</span></strong></h3>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">If your mortgage rate of interest is 4%, then your mortgage is costing you 4%  in interest payments providing you do not itemize your deductions for federal tax purposes<em>.</em> If you itemize, your cost is less than 4%; the actual cost will depend on your marginal tax bracket. Note that a</span><span style="font-size: 12pt;">s a mortgage balance declines or is eliminated, any tax benefits you get with itemizing deductions also decline and are eventually eliminated.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">In your retirement years having lower monthly expenses is always good; having a small or zero mortgage payment could be a valuable benefit especially for people who rely heavily on social security payments or who have minimal or no pensions.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Sinking all your money into an illiquid asset – a house &#8211; is a big drawback. You probably never thought of your &#8220;free and clear&#8221; home as having an associated cost, but that&#8217;s exactly what it is &#8211; the opportunity cost of the money tied up in it. Home equity lines of credit and reverse mortgages can be used to offset this drawback, but they have their own downsides. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">A house does not care whether it has a mortgage or not. It exists for people to live in and enjoy. Mentally coupling money tightly with housing can restrict your overall financial options when thinking about strategies appropriate for your total financial circumstances.</span></p>
<h3><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><strong>Going with investing, pros and cons</strong><br />
</span></h3>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Assuming you can capture only half the return of stocks in the last 80 years, that’s half of 10% or 5%; you are still getting a better return on these investments than the 4% you’re getting paying down or paying off the mortgage (ignoring taxes). But that return may fluctuate considerably over time. A more conservative and predictable approach would be to compare the percentage return from a very low risk investment such as a Treasury note or bond with your mortgage rate. When comparing returns always consider the tax effects &#8211; taxes potentially reduced from the mortagage interest deduction and taxes potentially owed from investment returns.<br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Investments such as stocks and bonds are far more liquid than real estate. Asset diversification is improved as you now have investments, real estate, and investments that can be turned easily and quickly into cash when needed.<br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Unlike your monthly mortgage payment, you will have to monitor the performance of your investments either by yourself or through turning them over to a broker or financial adviser. And these values will fluctuate. You should ask yourself how comfortable you are with that &#8211; <a href="http://box5463.temp.domains/~davidkh2/your-tolerance-for-investment-risk/"> How to Gauge Your Tolerance for Investment Risk</a>.</span></p>
<h3><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><strong>Two different simple but meaningful perspectives for deciding<br />
</strong></span></h3>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">From an <strong><em>emotional</em> perspective</strong>, consider what is most appealing to you, and what you can live with. Decisions based on emotion are not necessarily bad; they merely need to be acknowledged for what they are.<br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">From a <strong><em>practical</em> perspective</strong>, consider how easy it is to<em> undo</em> whichever choice you make, as there may come a time when you need to do exactly that. Having options is always good given the difficulty of predicting the future.</span></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://davidkelsey.net/pay-down-the-mortgage-or-invest/">Should I Pay Off the Mortgage or Invest?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://davidkelsey.net">Thoughts On Mastering The Three Phases of Life</a>.</p>
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		<title>Rent or Buy?</title>
		<link>https://davidkelsey.net/rent-or-buy/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[David Kelsey]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 25 Nov 2025 15:18:50 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Questions answered]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://affordablemoneymanagement.com/?p=866</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Many people believe that owning a home, assuming you can afford to buy a home, is always the better choice over renting. Not necessarily so &#8211; there are many factors to consider. Advantages of owning a home Purely emotional reasons. [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://davidkelsey.net/rent-or-buy/">Rent or Buy?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://davidkelsey.net">Thoughts On Mastering The Three Phases of Life</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><em>Many people believe that owning a home, assuming you can afford to buy a home, is always the better choice over renting. Not necessarily so &#8211; there are many factors to consider</em>.</span></p>
<h3><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><strong>Advantages of owning a home</strong><br />
</span></h3>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Purely emotional reasons. This should not be discounted as a factor.<br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Possible deductions for mortgage interest and property taxes depending on income and your overall tax situation, and also dependent on the state in which you live or are thinking of moving to.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Fixed cost in recurring mortgage payments provided you get a 15 or 30-year fixed mortgage.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Possibility of building equity. Contrary to popular opinion, this is not guaranteed, and depends greatly on where the property is located.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Stability. Assuming you pay your mortgage on time you can’t be forced to move except under unusual circumstances.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Option of getting a reverse mortgage when you’re much older and have built up substantial equity.</span></p>
<h3><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><strong>Disadvantages of owning </strong></span></h3>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Requirement of a down payment that could strain or exhaust your financial resources.<br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Upfront purchase costs including realtor’s commissions. That money is gone forever.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Ongoing costs of maintenance and repair, typically 1% &#8211; 4% annually of the value of the home depending on its age. And frequently not considered by new buyers.<br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Ongoing time required for maintenance and repair. Don’t underestimate this.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">High probability of future rising property taxes.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">High probability of future rising homeowner’s insurance premiums.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Lack of liquidity. You cannot easily and quickly convert your house to cash.</span></p>
<h3><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><strong>Advantages of renting </strong></span></h3>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Flexibility. It’s much easier to move to a different rental than selling a house and moving elsewhere. You might surprised at how many times people on average move to other residences.<br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Liquidity. Since you do not have money tied up in a down payment for a house or tied up in the equity of a house, you have greater control and more options of what to do with that money. Don’t underestimate the importance of this.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Possible lower monthly cost. See the financial analysis below.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">No hassle maintenance. If something breaks, it’s someone else’s problem to fix it.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Upscale amenities usually not found in homes: gyms, swimming pools, movie theaters, basketball courts, and wine cellars.</span></p>
<h3><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><strong>Disadvantages of renting </strong></span></h3>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Emotional – “I’m throwing money away”. Not really valid: you&#8217;re spending money on a place to live as contrasted with spending that same money on something else.<br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Potential loss of control. Possibility of eviction through changes in ownership of the rental.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Exposure to rising rents over which you and other tenants have little if any control.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Less flexibility in choosing neighbors. Another one not to underestimate.<br />
</span></p>
<h3><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><strong>Financial analysis – the Price to Rent ratio</strong></span></h3>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Here’s a way to look at this more objectively. Go to <a href="http://zillow.com" rel="noopener noreferrer">Zillow</a> and find the median home price and median <em>monthly</em> rent for the area you’re interested in. Divide the median home price by the median <em>annual</em> rent to give you a price/rental number. The number could be anywhere from 12 to 25. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Now take the sale price of a specific house you’re interested in, find a rental in the same area that’s roughly equivalent to the house, and then compute the price/rental number. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">The higher the number compared to the median P/R number the more you should consider renting. You can compare the two numbers – the median P/R number and the house-specific P/R number to get an idea as to whether the house is reasonably priced for that particular area.</span></p>
<h3><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><strong>Possible outcomes of your financial analysis</strong></span></h3>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">1) <em>The costs of renting and owning are comparable</em>. With no clear financial advantage with either choice, I would spend some time defining where you expect to be and what you expect to be doing in 3-5 years. The more uncertain your future, the better renting looks as it avoids all the sunk costs that come with purchasing. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">And it doesn’t tie up money in a house in the event of an unanticipated downturn in housing prices like the US experienced in 2008/2009. This could happen again and could be initiated by a nationwide credit crisis.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">2) <em>The cost of renting is higher than the cost of owning on a monthly basis</em>. First thing I would do is ask “Why?”; what is it about the local market that is causing this? If the answer is acceptable, then I would consider buying, but only after I had done the 3-5 year exercise mentioned in the previous paragraph.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">3) <em>The cost of owning is higher than the cost of renting on a monthly basis</em>. I’d choose renting to give you the maximum flexibility and options. It gives you the opportunity to familiarize yourself with the entire area relative to costs, traffic, and school systems, while monitoring price changes in neighborhoods of interest. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">And you can save or invest the difference in the cost between owning and renting in the meantime.</span></p>
<h3><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><strong>Recommendations for deciding </strong></span></h3>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Consider both the emotional aspects and financial implications.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Be clear on your assumptions, including how long you expect to live there.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Do the price/rental analysis.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">If buying, buy the least expensive home that meets your needs in an area that has the greatest potential for appreciation. Do not be swayed by realtors who try to get you focused on the most expensive house you can “afford”.  Never buy into the sales pitch “you’ll grow into it”.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt;">If renting, try hard to save the money you expect to save having made the decision to rent rather than buy.<strong><u><br />
</u></strong></span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://davidkelsey.net/rent-or-buy/">Rent or Buy?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://davidkelsey.net">Thoughts On Mastering The Three Phases of Life</a>.</p>
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